Showing posts with label NBA Trade Deadline. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NBA Trade Deadline. Show all posts

Thursday, January 22, 2009

NBA Trade Deadline: T-1 Month (Part II)


In part one of this piece, I scoured the rosters of 17 NBA teams in search of a trading partner for the Cavaliers, as we are now in the shadow of the February 19 trade dealine. Based on contract status, fit, and team positioning, I came up with only one player from the group of 17 teams that I thought would be a logical fit in Cleveland: Vince Carter.

If you find that last sentence to be a bit depressing, you're not alone. But fear not CMCR nation because today we take a look at the remaining 12 teams, each of whom is either a) a bottom dweller, or b) a team that, for one reason or another, is likely to make a deal come February.

Without further ado, I present The Bottom Dwellers:

18. Charlotte - The player that jumps out at you on this roster is obviously Gerald Wallace. The guy is 26 years old, 6'7, and averages about 16 points and 7.5 rebounds a game. What's more, Charlotte's roster is such an abomination that even the Bobcats' misguided regime knows they need to blow the whole thing up and start over. So, Wallace could probably be had for a package of expiring contracts and non-lottery picks. On the surface, it seems like the Cavs should be interested. For some reason though, I just don't like this move. Wallace makes about $10 million a year for the next three years, which isn't great, but it's certainly less than what guys like Vince Carter or Michael Redd are going to make over that period. The problem is that I just don't trust Wallace's numbers. He seems to me like the classic case of a guy whose stats are inflated because he's the only offensive threat on the floor for his team on any given night. I like to call this "the Zach Randolph effect." Also, much like Randolph, Wallace has never played on a quality team nor has he played a meaningful minute in 6 1/2 seasons. I understand that he makes a lot of sense on paper but I just don't see him joining a championship calliber team in mid-season, buying into the team concept, playing team defense, and doing the little things that good teams do to win games. Add this to the fact that he's not a very good shooter (45% from the floor and 24% from three) and the bottom line on Wallace is . . . no thanks.

Other than Wallce, you have two guys in Boris Diaw and Emeka Okafor that could definitely upgrade the Cavs' frontcourt but make too much money over too many years to warrant consideration.

19. Chicago - Hahahaha. Wait, one more time: Hahahahaha. You stupid assholes. It seems like another lifetime but only a few short years ago, the Bulls were the most imposing young franchise in basketball. They were absolutely loaded with 1) cap room, 2) young talent, and 3) draft picks. To a lesser extent, they were an Eastern Conference version of what the Blazers are today. Now, several terrible signings, poor draft picks, and bad extensions later, the Bulls are in shambles. I'm not even going to go into the whole Larry Hughes trade. It speaks for itself. Wait, one more time altogether now: Hahahahaha. Ok, so the point here is that the Bulls are atrocious and are probably willing to trade just about anyone. Unfortunately for the Bulls, I don't think they're going to find too many takers. Drew Gooden might go somewhere but it won't be Cleveland. We've, uh, outgrown him a little bit. Luol Deng probably isn't available because the Bulls have convinced themselves that he's twice the player that he really is (plus his contract is ungodly). Beyond that, there isn't anything here worth talking about, unless you have a fetish for guys who at one time were overhyped and are now simply overpaid.

20. Golden State - Wow did they ever panic and soil themselves when Baron Davis left town. $67 milloin for Corey Maggette and Ronny Turiaf? This roster is in bad shape but the only guys that might be available don't really help the Cavs. The aforementioned Turiaf is a big body but has no offensive game and makes too much money. Stephen Jackson is instant offense but he's got 4 years left on his deal, is 30 years old, and only shoots 39% from the floor. He's also insane but that's another story for another day. This team is of no help. (side note poll question: better offseason extension: Monta Ellis or Gil Arenas?)

21. Indiana - Troy Murphy is a big body who averages 12 and 11 but he makes over $10 million a year for the next two years. If I were Dan Gilbert, I would have a hard time paying $20 million in both 2010 and 2011 for Troy Murphy (remember, we are 100% going to be a luxury tax team as long as Lebron is wearing the wine and gold...and blue). Mike Dunleavy is another guy I would consider but he's a crappy rebounder and I don't know if Indiana would part with him for expiring deals alone. I can't see him being worth any more than that.

22. L.A. Clippers - This is the team that has the guy I covet more than anyone else in the league right now. You guessed it: Ricky Davis. Ok, actually it's Marcus Camby. This guy would be PERFECT for the Cavs right now. He averages roughly 12 points, 14 boards, and 2.5 blocks a night, shoots 50% from the floor, and makes roughly $10 million for one more season. In my estimation, he's the ideal addition and would make the Cavs the prohibitive favorite to win the whole thing. Camby is a tenacious defender who would thrive in the Cavs' system. What's more, he would come off the books for the summer of 2010 making it an almost risk-free move. I say almost because Camby is 34 and not exactly immune to injury.

The real problem though is that the Clippers are the absolute dumbest franchise in the NBA and from what I've heard (from my inside sources like...the internet), the Clippers are saying that he's not available. I just don't get it. At 9-32, why on earth would Donald Sterling (aka the cheapest bastard alive) want to pay Camby next year? Bottom line: Even if the Clippers are claiming he's not available, the Cavs should throw everything they have at this one. I might even include Hickson and/or a #1 to get it done. That's how much I think Camby could do for this team.

Other than Camby, Chris Kaman is another big body that could probably be had for the right price. This one doesn't excite me. His contract is big, it runs for 3 more years, and I just don't think he'd be worth the money or the risk.

Finally, there's good old Zach Randolph. He makes about $15 million a year for two more years but his numbers are huge: 22 points and 11 boards a game. I don't care. I wouldn't touch him. I don't think you can roll the dice with your franchise on a guy that may very well be suffering from Larry Hughes disease (has no interest in winning). Plus, he's a little bit undersized at 6'9 and is a very poor defender. If I were Ferry, I would stay far away from this one.

23. Memphis - I don't really see a fit here. Darko is a big body but he's soft and unproductive. I doubt the Griz would move him for an expiring deal anyway.

24. Minnesota - The only player on this roster that has some value and might be available is Mike Miller. I, for one, am not interested. His contract expires after next year but he plays the 2, only averages about 9 points a game, and is only shooting 44% from the field and 33% from 3. There's nothing wrong with these numbers...they just don't motivate me, and shouldn't motivate Ferry, to spend luxury taxed dollars to acquire him. My basic rule for this trade deadline is that the Cavs either need to get a prolific scorer or a big man who can play at least 20 quality minutes a game. Miller does not fit either description.

25. New York - The only player on the roster with value is David Lee and the Knicks must do something with his expiring deal if they are really going to clear their entire roster for the summer of 2010. The problem here is twofold: 1) because Lee is expiring, I would think the Knicks are going to want either young inexpensive talent or draft picks for him, and 2) I think New York would be very hesitant to give Cleveland any piece that might help them retain Lebron down the line. Lee would be an excellent fit for this Cavs team but I just don't see any way that it happens.

26. Oklahoma City - First things first: I want no part of Earl Watson. He's a horrendous shooter and averages 6 a game. I'd rather have West/Gibson/Lebron bringing the ball up when Williams is on the bench than Watson. The other interesting guy on this roster is Joe Smith. If the Cavs only move at this trade deadline is to get Smith off a buyout, I would be content. He's a consumate professional, a big body, and a guy who would give the Cavs that little bit of additional frontcourt depth that they desperately need. Smith isn't really a trade candidate but I would certainly court him if he were to be bought out. Other than Smith, I don't see any other big men on this roster that are likely to be moved.

27. Sacramento - First of all, based on what I've heard, Salmons is out. The Kings don't want to move him. Given that he's averaging 19 a game and has a reasonable contract running two more seasons, I don't necessarily blame them. I would suspect that any move involving Salmons will have to include a young player and/or picks coming back to Sacramento. The other guy that would make some sense for both the Cavs and Kings is Brad Miller. He averages 12 and 8 but makes a ton of money next season. If push came to shove, and the Cavs had the opportunity to get Miller (which I'm almost positive they will), I would do the deal under a few conditions: 1) The Cavs only have to give up Wally's expiring contract in the deal, 2) Gilbert is ok with paying a huge luxury tax bill next year after he gives Varejao a big extension, and 3) Szczerbiak does the secret handshake agreement to come back after he gets bought out. Give me those three things and I'm sold on Brad Miller. I might even do it wouthout knowing Wally would come back. If, and this is a big if, the Cavs survive the East, Miller would be a nice luxury to have against the Lakers massive front line.

28. Utah - I know, I know, I put them in the wrong category. At 25-18, they're certainly not bottom dwellers but I forgot to write about them in Part I so cut me some slack. The chatter around the league seems to be that Larry Miller doesn't want to pay the luxury tax so Utah will be looking to move someone next month. Boozer's contract is expiring so the Cavs really wouldn't have anything to offer to get him (and yes, if you're wondering, I would take him in a heartbeat. I don't care if he burned down my house...I would still jump on the chance to get him back if it meant a championship). Kirilenko is the other guy that would be a very interesting fit in Cleveland. For the money (about $15 million a year for two more years) he's clearly overpaid. He doesn't start and he only averages about 12 and 5. Still, he's a big body, he's only 27, and he would probably be rejuvinated if someone liberated him from the living hell that is Jerry Sloan. Kirilenko would undoubtedly be a great addition to the Cavs and would be a huge factor in any series against Boston, Orlando, or the Lakers. Still, I don't see how this deal gets done unless the Jazz are absolutely desperate to get out of cap trouble so they can re-sign Boozer and Millsap. They're too good of a team to be be giving key contributors away for nothing in February. Plus, Dan Gilbert would have to OK paying a role player in excess of $30 million over the next two years. I'm not sure I can see that happening knowing what Varejao is going to command this offseason. The only other guy of interest here would be Okur because he's a big body but I haven't heard anything about the Jazz looking to move him.

29. Washington - My thoughts on this franchise have been well-documented. Abe Polin is an idiot but unfortunately for the Cavs, that idiocy is what is standing in the way of the Cavs getting Caron Butler or Antawn Jamison. For the record, I would take Butler in a heartbeat and Jamison in only a slightly longer heartbeat because his contract is lengthier. Both of these guys would, in my estimation, put the Cavs over the top, but sadly, I don't think it matters because neither will be traded. I don't see how Polin can throw up the white flag when Gilbert Arenas still has 5 1/2 years and roughly a trillion dollars left on his absolutely indefensible contract. Even if you cleared Jamison and Butler off your books, you'd still have a team without much cap space and you'd have an extremely pissed off fan base (largely because they're some of the most ignorant basketball fans in the league and have yet to figure out that they have no chance of winning a playoff series with their current core, even if, by some miracle, they were all healthy at the same time). Add in the fact that these franchises are mortal enemies and I think the chances of a deal getting done are slim and none. Oh well. Enjoy your 20 win team Washington fans. Wait, what's that? It's because of injuries? Oh, well in that case, enjoy your 35 win team next year Washington. Jackasses.

Conclusion: The Cavs need to go hard after Camby. If that fails, they should take a hard look at Vince Carter. Finally, if nothing unexpected materializes, they should consider Brad Miller, or perhaps even Kirilenko for expiring money. If none of those options is available, keep the team as constructed, get healthy, hope that Joe Smith gets bought out, and try to win a title with a team that is, when healthy, as good as any other team in the league. As a Cavs fan, I could live with that.
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Monday, January 19, 2009

NBA Trade Deadline: T-1 Month (Part 1)


We're 1 month away from the Feb. 19 NBA trade deadline. That's 1 month until (and yes I'm being overly dramatic) Danny Ferry makes perhaps his most important decision to date as Cavs GM.

With that in mind, it's time to evaluate the players that might be available and the pieces the Cavs might be able to put together to get them. Keep in mind, the Cavs have about $20 million in expiring deals that they could move if so inclined. For the sake of thoroughness, we'll go team-by-team and look at every possibility.

The Contenders: These teams won't be selling this February.

1. Atlanta - At 24-16 and in 4th place in the East, they won't be selling.

2. Boston - I'm gonna go out on a limb and say they won't be selling. No big loss though because beyond Allen, Pierce, Garnett, and Rondo, they're total garbage. They only way they can improve is if someone gets bought out and signs with them which, given the fact that God loves Boston, will probably happen.

3. Denver - With Billups, they have a shot, albeit a small one, to contend out West.

4. Detroit - The Iverson trade made them a lot less threatening but they will still be a very annoying playoff out.

5. Houston - Bill Simmons spoke about this team on a recent podcast and said he thinks they could be selling. I'm gonna say no way. It just wouldn't make any sense. Why trade McGrady for 50 cents on the dollar when you can try to throw a haymaker in the playoffs and then just move him as an expiring deal next year? Houston may very well blow up their core at next year's deadline but they're just good enough when healthy to give it one more shot.

6. LA Lakers - Obviously not selling.

7. New Orleans - Self-explanatory

8. Orlando - Id.

9. Portland - Might make a trade but won't be dumping guys for expiring deals.

10 San Antonio - One or two more years to make a run as constructed.

The Bubble Teams: These teams could be sellers depending on what happens over the next month.

11. Dallas - They're 24-17 and 8th in the West but they've got a bloated payroll and aren't getting any younger. Stackhouse and his $7 million dollar salary for next year could be moved but that is of no interest to the Cavs. Nowitzki has 2 more years at about $19 million per left on his deal and would be a great fit for Cleveland but it's unlikely that Cuban will part with him, at least for another year. Obviously it would be nice to have Jason Kidd but a) it would make no sense for Dallas to trade an expiring deal for more expiring deals, and b) I doubt the team wants to make such a blatant concession that they traded and all-star for a corpse in the deal that sent Devin Harris to New Jersey. Overall, not a good trading partner.

12. Miami - They might move Shawn Marion but it won't be to the Cavs. Again, expiring for expirings doesn't make sense. If they move him, it will be for young players and picks.

13. Milwaukee - It's hard to predict what Bucks managment is thinking because this franchise is such a rudderless ship. Everything they've done over the last year has made absolutely no sense. In theory, they could look to move Mike Redd but I'm not convinced it would be in the Cavs' best interest to deal for him. He's almost 30, his contract runs for two more years in the $16 million a year range, and he plays the same position that Delonte' West is currently playing quite well. Would he be an upgrade at the position? Of course. Do you want to roll the dice on the Lebron era with him? That's a tougher call but I'm inclined to say no. Plus, although I have no source for this, I remember hearing rumors that part of the reason Mo Williams was traded out of Milwaukee was because he and Redd didn't get along too well. If that's the case, it's an automatic deal killer. Richard Jefferson might be available (or he may be untouchable...its just impossible to tell with this franchise) but again, you have to ask yourself the same question: Is this a guy on whom you'd be willing to let the whole thing ride? Considering that every time I see him, all I can think about is him murdering the Olympic team, and he just so happens to be the same guy that was traded for Yi, my answer is no. Dan Gadzuric could probably be had for the price of one Eric Snow. Unfortunately, I'd rather be forced to play Snow in a wheelchair than pay Dan Gadzuric $7 million a year for two more years.

14. New Jersey - This....this is a fascinating team given the contract status of one Mr. Vince Carter. The 19-22 Nets currently sit in 9th place in the Eastern conference. Even they probably realize that they have no chance of contending this year, or, most likely, next. Given that Carter has 3 more years at upwards of $15 million a season left on his moronic deal, if they Nets are smart, they'll look to move him. You'd have to consider this trade from both perspectives.

If you're a Cavs fan, the thought of Carter doing his tin-man routine in a playoff game with the future of Lebron and basketball in Cleveland hanging in the balance has to make you sick. I remember during the 06 Nets series, I vowed that if the day ever came that Carter suited up for the Cavs, that would be the day I ceased being a fan. Now......I still hate Carter. I hate that he's a total Giner. I hate that he pulled one of the all-time biggest dick moves in NBA history when he sulked his way out of Toronto. I hate everything about him...(don't say it, don't say it) BUT HE COULD BE THE FINAL PIECE! I want to vomit all over my computer just seeing that on the screen but it just might be true. The guy is putting up 21.5 a night and shooting almost 40% from deep on a crappy team. What could he do as the second option on a really good Cavs team? How would you like having Carter and Mo Williams running the offense when Lebron has to sit? Given Carter's contract and the fact that he's as close to radioactive as any non-batshit-crazy player in the league, trading for him would be the gamble of all gambles. If the Atlantic Yards project weren't currently about as likely to happen as a Browns Superbowl, and Lebron going there in 2010 was still a legitimate possibility, the move would be even riskier. This summer, when I heard rumors that Ferry was trying to acquire Carter, I wanted him to be fired immediately. Now, deep down, in a place I don't like to talk about at parties, I secretly want it to happen. Ok, now I'm queezy.

From the Nets perspective, if you're still holding out hope of landing Lebron, trading Carter is looking more and more dangerous. It was one thing this summer when trading Carter and his contract would've been the equivalent of sending the Cavs smallpox blankets. But now, with the Cavs a clearcut contender and Carter having an all-star calliber season, it would be a huge gamble (this is of course assuming that if the Cavs win a title, Lebron is staying). From a basketball standpoint, keeping Carter doesn't make much sense. Still, if the Nets turned the Cavs down this summer, they're very unlikely to do the deal now. My guess is that Carter will stay put this year and then get moved for expirings and picks next year.

15. Philadelphia - Hey, nice job on that Elton Brand signing Philly. Giving a second-level player coming off a catastrophic injury franchise player money is always a can't miss. You're sure to get years of enjoyment out of that move. There really isn't much here to interest the Cavs. Andre Miller would make a nice addition but it's the whole expiring for expiring problem again. Sam Dalembert is probably available. What's that? You're not interested? Alright then, I'll move on.

16. Phoenix - Steve Kerr is awefully lucky that the media loves him because he has completely destroyed this team. Now...they're a mess. Nash is slowing down, Amare is a headcase, and Shaq is a cap-sucking black hole. There isn't anything here to peak the Cavs' interest.

17. Toronto - Another delusional franchise that traded for the "missing piece" not realizing that a) they were about 3 "missing pieces" away from contending and b) the piece they traded for was broken. Now, they'd probably listen to offers for Jermaine O'Neal but there's no fit here. His deal is expiring and the Raptors will be looking for young players and picks if they move him.

So we've covered two categories and 17 teams and only 1 player appears to make any sense for both the Cavs and his current employer...and that man just happens to be one of the most disgusting players in NBA history.

In the next couple of days, we'll take a look at the remaining 13 NBA teams that we can expect to be selling next month.
Go Cavs
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